Walt deserves significantly more of the vote for this, even if it doesn't win. Deserves 15-25% at least. That's a pretty major blunder, with several regimes in the middle east toppled in a very short time.
Yes, Rubin was way off base with knee-jerk propaganda. Yes, Andrew was ultimately wrong about Sarah, but she was actively fostering the will-she-won't-she speculation. But Walt missed the entire Arab Spring. I'm ultimately fine with other winners, but the lopsidedness bugs me.
Sarah Palin "ran for president" more than that guy was a "jihadist."
But Andrew qualified his statement. "We'll see.... I hope...." And his prediction was not totally unreasonable.
Jennifer R. was making an outrageous claim without any kind of qualification or reflection. I don't see why it being propaganda makes it any less wrong.
Let's stop giving these clowns some kind of handicap for being morally and intellectually stunted. Wrong is wrong.
Stephen Walt deserves this award. He is a serious analyst who missed a social tsunami that was foreshadowed by the Iranian green revolution. Guessing what Sarah was going to do is a mugs game if I ever saw one. Jennifer is so wrong on so many things that I wonder why anyone cares any more.
Jennifer was wrong, but she was just bullshitting. She was outgassing propaganda. Andrew was simply and sincerely wrong about something he should have been able to see coming.