I think the Pirates' 84-78 projection is:
low, by 2 to 4 games
50%
good, within 1 game
29%
low, by more than 4 games
15%
high, by 2 to 4 games
4%
high, by more than 4 games
<1%
See this poll on:
https://poll.fm/9328779/embed